IMEF hopes that the electoral cycle will not slow FTA negotiations
21 . DICIEMBRE 2017
There is a certain reserve that the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) will not be achieved at the right time and that the political-electoral cycle will finally surpass it, said Roberto Reyes Rico, outgoing president of the Mexican Institute of Executives. of Finance (IMEF) Grupo Monterrey.
"The expectation that the IMEF has is that a renegotiation will be reached, but what we are not sure of is that it will be given in the appropriate time."
"We believe that it will be due to the capacity of the negotiating team and the group of US allies that support NAFTA, and that they are aware that the affectation of not having a treaty would not only be for Mexico but for them (United States and Canada)" , he said at a press conference.
"Yes it will be a negotiation, but an important issue is to see if the political agenda does not exceed the times, then it will be regrettable," the outgoing president added.
The leader pointed out that it is a pity that it was not signed in the same year as planned at the beginning of the process, there was always the fear of it lengthening and under this scenario at the end of next January the Mexican negotiating team will depart to Montreal, Canada to continue advancing in the renegotiations.
Reyes Rico mentioned that it has only been possible to advance on two issues of an agenda of 30.
"Today the reality is that we have four issues that are particularly hampering the speed at which we went in the negotiations."
The outgoing president listed the main obstacles to continue with the agenda: one is the integration component of the NAFTA zone; clause 11 or early termination; the agricultural issues of the suspension of exports by Mexican products and clause 19 referring to the right to have international arbitrations.
In turn, Luis García Peña, former president of IMEF Monterrey, pointed out that not getting a good negotiation on time would affect economic expectations, with which capital will "take refuge", as well as generate slowness in the business environment .
"March will be the deadline. Exceeding March without a treaty suggests that we are going to enter a political maelstrom on both sides of the border that will certainly also inflame the tone of the negotiation, "Garcia warned.
Aunado a lo anterior, García Peña comentó que la inflación y las tasas de interés en lo interno se convertirán en uno de los grandes retos para México.
Y el PIB de Nuevo León crecerá a un 5% en el 2018
El Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas (IMEF), Grupo Monterrey, estimó que la economía de Nuevo León tendrá para el 2018 un desempeño similar al de este año.
Se espera que el crecimiento del Producto Interno Bruto del estado se ubicará en un 5 por ciento al cierre de este año y este mismo nivel registre en el 2018, previó Luis García Peña, coordinador del foro del IMEF.
El PIB estatal siempre ha crecido el doble al PIB nacional y esta tendencia se espera continúe hacia el cierre de este año y el siguiente, impulsado por las obras de reconstrucción de viviendas y afectaciones de los temblores de septiembre en la ciudad de México y sur del país.
De igual manera, será para la IED, la cual continuará fluyendo para el próximo año, y no por lo que esté haciendo el gobierno estatal